The Politics of Assumptions.
4 min readMay 27, 2019
Our Repeated Attempts at Second-Guessing.
In the 2016 Brexit vote, it was assumed, without much data that ‘of course’ the average British voter would not vote to leave the EU. Perhaps, this is exactly the case and the ‘average’ voter didn’t vote to leave the EU. Such a result calls into question notions of ‘average’ and is far likelier to be just an assumption. Then, later in 2016, but in the USA, the polls, and…